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What will GPT Sol's output token price hit in 2026?

Open

Selected outcome

↓ $5

wide spread 16–51%

24%

↓ $5 · 24%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
developers.openai.com (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • ↑ $20

    Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $20 in 2026?

    <1%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,680 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↑ $15

    Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $15 in 2026?

    34%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,082 vol

    wide spread 26–40%

    Bid 26¢ · Ask 40¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↓ $8

    Will GPT Sol's output price be at or below $8 in 2026?

    23%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,890 vol

    wide spread 18–51%

    Bid 18¢ · Ask 51¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↓ $5

    Will GPT Sol's output price be at or below $5 in 2026?

    24%

    Open · $0 24h · $564 vol

    wide spread 16–51%

    Bid 16¢ · Ask 51¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$0
Volume
$6,216
Liquidity
$1,144
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of OpenAI's latest GPT Sol model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". OpenAI's latest GPT Sol model means the model with the highest GPT version number among models by OpenAI explicitly named Sol, such as GPT-5.6 Sol or GPT-6 Sol, that have a standard output token price listed on OpenAI's official API pricing page. If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies. Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify. The relevant price is the “Standard” output token price on OpenAI’s official API pricing page, using the “Short context” rate where context-based pricing differs. Prices for batch, flex, fast mode, priority, long-context, cached, or regional and data-residency variants will not be considered. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution; only the standard listed API price applies. A price qualifies only while the model is OpenAI's latest GPT Sol model as defined above, after market creation. The resolution source for this market will be OpenAI's official API pricing page (https://developers.openai.com/api/docs/pricing). Official announcements and archived copies of this page may be used to confirm prices and when they were displayed; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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