Selected outcome
Unchanged / Dissent
wide spread 14–49%
14%
Unchanged / Dissent · 14%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 28, 2:35 PM ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
Price 30+ timesWill Warsh say "Price" 30+ times during October Press Conference?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $112 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
- Inflation 20+ times
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during October Press Conference?
54%
Open · $0 24h · $35 vol
wide spread 39–54%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 54¢
- AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during October Press Conference?
51%
Open · $0 24h · $495 vol
Bid 46¢ · Ask 56¢
- SI / Super Intelligence
Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?
43%
Open · $30 24h · $1,367 vol
Bid 42¢ · Ask 44¢
- Good Day
Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?
94%
Open · $0 24h · $22 vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 95¢
- Good Afternoon
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during October Press Conference?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $50 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 9¢
- Payroll
Will Warsh say "Payroll" during October Press Conference?
33%
Open · $0 24h · $445 vol
wide spread 27–42%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 42¢
- Oversight
Will Warsh say "Oversight" during October Press Conference?
24%
Open · $0 24h · $23 vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 27¢
- Conflict / Middle East
Will Warsh say "Conflict" or "Middle East" during October Press Conference?
63%
Open · $0 24h · $520 vol
wide spread 59–76%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 76¢
- Good Question
Will Warsh say "Good Question" during October Press Conference?
93%
Open · $0 24h · $120 vol
Bid 92¢ · Ask 93¢
- CapEx / Capital Expenditure
Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during October Press Conference?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $50 vol
wide spread 60–87%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 87¢
- Soft / Softening
Will Warsh say "Soft" or "Softening" during October Press Conference?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 17–37%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 37¢
- Software
Will Warsh say "Software" during October Press Conference?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 13–25%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 25¢
- Pressure / Stagflation
Will Warsh say "Pressure" or "Stagflation" during October Press Conference?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $5 vol
wide spread 60–80%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 80¢
- President / Trump
Will Warsh say "President" or "Trump" during October Press Conference?
No quote
Open · $100 24h · $100 vol
wide spread 60–81%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 81¢
- Pandemic / Recession
Will Warsh say "Pandemic" or "Recession" during October Press Conference?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 13–32%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 32¢
- Unchanged / Dissent
Will Warsh say "Unchanged" or "Dissent" during October Press Conference?
14%
Open · $0 24h · $25 vol
wide spread 14–49%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 49¢
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas
Will Warsh say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during October Press Conference?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $50 vol
wide spread 60–83%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 83¢
- Gold / Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
Will Warsh say "Gold" or "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during October Press Conference?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 15¢
- -No Qualifying Event-
Will no statement by Warsh happen during October Press Conference?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $428 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 28, 2:35 PM ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on October 28, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf