Selected outcome
2.0%
<1%
2.0% · <1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
2.25%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $95k vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.3¢
- 2.5%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $1,220 24h · $183k vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.3¢
- 2.75%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $3,466 24h · $75k vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
- 3.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $1,622 24h · $504k vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.3¢
- 3.25%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $88k vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.6¢
- 3.5%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $209k vol
Bid 0.9¢ · Ask 2.1¢
- 3.75%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $541k vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 2.5¢
- 4.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
17%
Open · $0 24h · $1.4M vol
Bid 11.9¢ · Ask 21.7¢
- 4.25%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
67%
Open · $0 24h · $577k vol
Bid 65¢ · Ask 69.4¢
- ≥ 4.5%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
12%
Open · $639 24h · $2.4M vol
Bid 11.3¢ · Ask 12.8¢
- ≤1.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
1%
Open · $955 24h · $275k vol
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 0.8¢
- 1.25
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $36 24h · $156k vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.5¢
- 1.5%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $152k vol
last
Ask 0.2¢
- 1.75%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $71 24h · $155k vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.3¢
- 2.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?
<1%
Open · $64 24h · $271k vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).