Selected outcome
4.25%
15%
4.25% · 15%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
≤2.5%Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤2.5% at the end of 2027?
4%
Open · $5 24h · $1,007 vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 7.7¢
- 2.75%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2027?
2%
Open · $5 24h · $611 vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 3.9¢
- 3.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2027?
4%
Open · $11 24h · $574 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 7.6¢
- 3.25%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2027?
3%
Open · $5 24h · $816 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 6.2¢
- 3.5%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2027?
2%
Open · $5 24h · $788 vol
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 2.5¢
- 3.75%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2027?
6%
Open · $5 24h · $777 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 9.1¢
- 4.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2027?
14%
Open · $5 24h · $2,331 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 17¢
- 4.25%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?
15%
Open · $5 24h · $6,661 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 18¢
- 4.5%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.5% at the end of 2027?
44%
Open · $5 24h · $3,880 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 48¢
- 4.75%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.75% at the end of 2027?
14%
Open · $5 24h · $2,018 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 17¢
- 5.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.0% at the end of 2027?
10%
Open · $5 24h · $1,750 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 13¢
- 5.25%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.25% at the end of 2027?
7%
Open · $5 24h · $1,595 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 8¢
- 5.5%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.5% at the end of 2027?
1%
Open · $5 24h · $513 vol
Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 1.9¢
- 5.75%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.75% at the end of 2027?
4%
Open · $91 24h · $1,230 vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 7.9¢
- ≥6.0%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥6.0% at the end of 2027?
1%
Open · $5 24h · $551 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2027 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 7-8, 2027. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).