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What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on December 31?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

$1.165M+

6%

$1.165M+ · 6%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 10, 2027 ET

Price

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Markets

  • <$1.062M

    Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?

    61%

    Open · $1,156 24h · $5,449 vol

    Bid 60.3¢ · Ask 60.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • $1.062M - $1.083M

    Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,062,000 and $1,083,000 on December 31?

    22%

    Open · $299 24h · $2,868 vol

    wide spread 17–31%

    Bid 16.7¢ · Ask 31.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • $1.083M - $1.104M

    Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,083,000 and $1,104,000 on December 31?

    3%

    Open · $78 24h · $2,874 vol

    Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 4.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • $1.104M - $1.125M

    Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,104,000 and $1,125,000 on December 31?

    3%

    Open · $85 24h · $2,729 vol

    Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 5.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • $1.125M - $1.146M

    Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,125,000 and $1,146,000 on December 31?

    <1%

    Open · $109 24h · $2,793 vol

    Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • $1.146M - $1.165M

    Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,146,000 and $1,165,000 on December 31?

    1%

    Open · $117 24h · $1,789 vol

    Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 1¢

    Open full market view →
  • $1.165M+

    Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,165,000 on December 31?

    6%

    Open · $1,456 24h · $3,932 vol

    Bid 6.3¢ · Ask 6.5¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$3,300
Volume
$22k
Liquidity
$4,660
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Jan 10, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/60)

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