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What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

$411K - $415K

5%

$411K - $415K · 5%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 10, 2027 ET

Price

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Markets

  • <$403K

    Will the median home value in the US be less than $403,000 on December 31?

    2%

    Open · $5 24h · $2,505 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 3.8¢

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  • $403K - $407K

    Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31?

    33%

    Open · $460 24h · $3,530 vol

    Bid 31¢ · Ask 34¢

    Open full market view →
  • $407K - $411K

    Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?

    49%

    Open · $5 24h · $8,997 vol

    Bid 48¢ · Ask 49¢

    Open full market view →
  • $411K - $415K

    Will the median home value in the US be between $411,000 and $415,000 on December 31?

    5%

    Open · $8 24h · $1,553 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 6.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • $415K - $419K

    Will the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31?

    7%

    Open · $10 24h · $4,769 vol

    Bid 4.7¢ · Ask 9.2¢

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  • $419K - $423K

    Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $423,000 on December 31?

    2%

    Open · $5 24h · $4,767 vol

    Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 3.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • $423K+

    Will the median home value in the US be at least $423,000 on December 31?

    5%

    Open · $5 24h · $722 vol

    Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 9.1¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$497
Volume
$27k
Liquidity
$4,310
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Jan 10, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/57)

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