Selected outcome
Mississippi
4%
Mississippi · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 7, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- nhc.noaa.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
TexasWill a hurricane make landfall in Texas by November 30, 2026?
7%
Open · $0 24h · $945 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 9¢
- Louisiana
Will a hurricane make landfall in Louisiana by November 30, 2026?
7%
Open · $0 24h · $2,139 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 7¢
- Mississippi
Will a hurricane make landfall in Mississippi by November 30, 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $1,132 vol
Bid 3.2¢ · Ask 5.1¢
- Alabama
Will a hurricane make landfall in Alabama by November 30, 2026?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $3,597 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 6.2¢
- Georgia
Will a hurricane make landfall in Georgia by November 30, 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $2,123 vol
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 1.7¢
- South Carolina
Will a hurricane make landfall in South Carolina by November 30, 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $1,216 vol
Bid 4.2¢ · Ask 4.7¢
- North Carolina
Will a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina by November 30, 2026?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $2,738 vol
Bid 4.2¢ · Ask 6.9¢
- Virginia
Will a hurricane make landfall in Virginia by November 30, 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $1,961 vol
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 5.2¢
- Maryland
Will a hurricane make landfall in Maryland by November 30, 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $1,773 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 5.6¢
- Delaware
Will a hurricane make landfall in Delaware by November 30, 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $2,125 vol
Bid 1.7¢ · Ask 2.7¢
- New Jersey
Will a hurricane make landfall in New Jersey by November 30, 2026?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $730 vol
Bid 3.2¢ · Ask 6¢
- New York
Will a hurricane make landfall in New York by November 30, 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $2,403 vol
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 5.6¢
- Connecticut
Will a hurricane make landfall in Connecticut by November 30, 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $462 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 5¢
- Rhode Island
Will a hurricane make landfall in Rhode Island by November 30, 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $2,054 vol
Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 6.6¢
- Massachusetts
Will a hurricane make landfall in Massachusetts by November 30, 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $3,199 vol
Bid 1.7¢ · Ask 1.8¢
- New Hampshire
Will a hurricane make landfall in New Hampshire by November 30, 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $1,964 vol
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 3¢
- Maine
Will a hurricane make landfall in Maine by November 30, 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $2,559 vol
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 4.5¢
- Hawaii
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii by November 30, 2026?
8%
Open · $0 24h · $4,373 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 9¢
Resolved
- Florida
Will a hurricane make landfall in Florida by November 30, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $4,259 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 7, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to "No". A hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to "Yes". Hurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. Each market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to "No" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met. If an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution. If a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.