Selected outcome
San Francisco, CA
San Francisco, CA
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 2:00 PM ET
- Resolution source
- forecast.weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets

Los Angeles, CAWill it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 20?
1%
Open · $19 24h · $119 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢




Philadelphia, PAWill it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 20?
1%
Open · $20 24h · $20 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
Washington, DCWill it rain in Washington, DC on October 20?
1%
Open · $30 24h · $30 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢




New Orleans, LAWill it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 20?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $30 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
San Francisco, CAWill it rain in San Francisco, CA on October 20?
No quote
Open · $3,693 24h · $4,128 vol
Ask 1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 2:00 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if San Francisco, CA records measurable precipitation on October 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KSFO: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KSFO, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO.