Selected outcome
Los Angeles, CA
96%
Los Angeles, CA · 96%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 2:00 PM ET
- Resolution source
- forecast.weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
New York, NYWill it rain in New York, NY on October 21?
No quote
Open · $10 24h · $10 vol
wide spread <1–99%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 98.9¢
Los Angeles, CAWill it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 21?
96%
Open · $10 24h · $91 vol
Bid 91.3¢ · Ask 99.8¢
Chicago, ILWill it rain in Chicago, IL on October 21?
No quote
Open · $10 24h · $10 vol
wide spread <1–99%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 99¢
Houston, TXWill it rain in Houston, TX on October 21?
No quote
Open · $10 24h · $10 vol
wide spread <1–93%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 92.5¢
Dallas, TXWill it rain in Dallas, TX on October 21?
No quote
Open · $10 24h · $10 vol
wide spread <1–99%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 98.9¢
Phoenix, AZWill it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 21?
81%
Open · $26 24h · $35 vol
wide spread 65–81%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 81¢
Philadelphia, PAWill it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 21?
No quote
Open · $10 24h · $10 vol
wide spread <1–98%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 98.2¢
Washington, DCWill it rain in Washington, DC on October 21?
No quote
Open · $10 24h · $10 vol
wide spread <1–99%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 99¢
Atlanta, GAWill it rain in Atlanta, GA on October 21?
No quote
Open · $10 24h · $10 vol
wide spread <1–99%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 98.5¢



New Orleans, LAWill it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 21?
No quote
Open · $20 24h · $20 vol
wide spread <1–99%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 99¢
San Francisco, CAWill it rain in San Francisco, CA on October 21?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $50 vol
wide spread 70–81%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 81¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 2:00 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Los Angeles, CA records measurable precipitation on October 21, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KLAX: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KLAX, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX.