Selected outcome
Philadelphia, PA
2%
Philadelphia, PA · 2%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 2:00 PM ET
- Resolution source
- forecast.weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
New York, NYWill it rain in New York, NY on October 22?
2%
Open · $20 24h · $20 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 3.2¢
Los Angeles, CAWill it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 22?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98¢
Chicago, ILWill it rain in Chicago, IL on October 22?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread <1–>99%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 99.9¢


Phoenix, AZWill it rain in Phoenix, AZ on October 22?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 4–80%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 80¢
Philadelphia, PAWill it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 22?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 3.2¢
Washington, DCWill it rain in Washington, DC on October 22?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 3.2¢

Miami, FLWill it rain in Miami, FL on October 22?
No quote
Open · $50 24h · $50 vol
wide spread 40–51%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 51¢
Seattle, WAWill it rain in Seattle, WA on October 22?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 6–18%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 18¢

New Orleans, LAWill it rain in New Orleans, LA on October 22?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread <1–98%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 98¢
San Francisco, CAWill it rain in San Francisco, CA on October 22?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 69–83%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 83¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 2:00 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Philadelphia, PA records measurable precipitation on October 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KPHL: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KPHL, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=PHL.