Selected outcome
Switzerland
1%
Switzerland · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
No Talks by December 31, 2027Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?
11%
Open · $2,710 24h · $9,228 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 12¢
TurkeyWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027?
12%
Open · $940 24h · $4,825 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 12¢
SwitzerlandWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2027?
1%
Open · $165 24h · $763 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 2¢
HungaryWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Hungary by December 31, 2027?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $288 vol
last
Ask 1¢
USAWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the United States by December 31, 2027?
4%
Open · $357 24h · $2,221 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 8.5¢
ChinaWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in China by December 31, 2027?
3%
Open · $193 24h · $765 vol
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 6.2¢
RussiaWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Russia by December 31, 2027?
1%
Open · $422 24h · $746 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1.9¢
UkraineWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Ukraine by December 31, 2027?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $679 vol
last
Ask 0.2¢
GermanyWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Germany by December 31, 2027?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $469 vol
last
Ask 2¢
Saudi ArabiaWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2027?
5%
Open · $223 24h · $991 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9¢
UAEWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?
61%
Open · $1,862 24h · $18k vol
Bid 59¢ · Ask 62¢
QatarWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Qatar by December 31, 2027?
4%
Open · $165 24h · $782 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 8.7¢
Vatican CityWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Vatican City by December 31, 2027?
<1%
Open · $165 24h · $704 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.3¢
ItalyWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Italy by December 31, 2027?
1%
Open · $165 24h · $527 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
AustriaWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Austria by December 31, 2027?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $335 vol
Ask 0.9¢
SlovakiaWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Slovakia by December 31, 2027?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $290 vol
last
Ask 0.9¢
FinlandWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Finland by December 31, 2027?
1%
Open · $165 24h · $468 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
BelarusWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Belarus by December 31, 2027?
1%
Open · $165 24h · $542 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
KazakhstanWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Kazakhstan by December 31, 2027?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $285 vol
Ask 0.9¢
IndiaWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in India by December 31, 2027?
2%
Open · $165 24h · $838 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 3¢
PolandWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Poland by December 31, 2027?
1%
Open · $165 24h · $467 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
SerbiaWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Serbia by December 31, 2027?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $158 vol
last
Ask 0.9¢
AzerbaijanWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Azerbaijan by December 31, 2027?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $215 vol
last
Ask 0.9¢
EgyptWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Egypt by December 31, 2027?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $166 vol
last
Ask 0.9¢
BrazilWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Brazil by December 31, 2027?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $216 vol
last
Ask 0.9¢
South AfricaWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in South Africa by December 31, 2027?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $166 vol
last
Ask 0.9¢
Other - EuropeWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in another European country by December 31, 2027?
1%
Open · $202 24h · $704 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1¢
Other - Middle East/North AfricaWill the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in another Middle East/North Africa country by December 31, 2027?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $317 vol
last
Ask 1.1¢
- Other
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in another country by December 31, 2027?
2%
Open · $165 24h · $846 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict begins by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. If the next qualifying diplomatic meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first diplomatic session begins. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. A meeting held in Vatican City will resolve to "Vatican City," not "Italy." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to "Other - Europe." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to "Other - Middle East/North Africa." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to "Other." For purposes of this market, countries' regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department's regional classifications in the "Countries and Areas List" (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of "Europe and Eurasia" will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of "Near East (Middle East and North Africa)" will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa. If no qualifying senior-level peace talks begin by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Talks by December 31, 2027.” The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.