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Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Open

Selected outcome

ByteDance

1%

ByteDance · 1%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

  • Google

    Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

    12%

    Open · $84 24h · $17k vol

    Bid 10.6¢ · Ask 12.5¢

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  • Alibaba

    Alibaba matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

    2%

    Open · $0 24h · $6,487 vol

    Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 3.2¢

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  • Z.ai

    Z.ai matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

    3%

    Open · $0 24h · $3,356 vol

    Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • SpaceXAI

    SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

    7%

    Open · $0 24h · $8,122 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 8¢

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  • DeepSeek

    DeepSeek matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

    5%

    Open · $0 24h · $4,337 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 6¢

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  • Moonshot

    Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

    2%

    Open · $0 24h · $14k vol

    Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 3.9¢

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  • Mistral

    Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

    1%

    Open · $0 24h · $13k vol

    Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 1.5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Meituan

    Meituan matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

    3%

    Open · $33 24h · $1,592 vol

    Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 5.2¢

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  • Microsoft

    Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

    13%

    Open · $8 24h · $10k vol

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 14¢

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  • Meta

    Meta matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

    3%

    Open · $0 24h · $6,889 vol

    Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 5.2¢

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  • Amazon

    Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

    3%

    Open · $43 24h · $11k vol

    Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 4.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • Baidu

    Baidu matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

    1%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,929 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • ByteDance

    ByteDance matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

    1%

    Open · $0 24h · $5,075 vol

    Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 2.5¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$168
Volume
$103k
Liquidity
$4,042
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

On September 12, 2026, Anthropic committed to giving embedded third-party evaluators permanent, ongoing, employee-level access to its AI models and training processes. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above. If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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