Selected outcome
M + KD + L + SD
9%
M + KD + L + SD · 9%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jul 31, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
S + MP + CWill the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?
12%
Open · $123 24h · $8,301 vol
Bid 9.6¢ · Ask 15.2¢
- S + MP + C + V
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?
17%
Open · $969 24h · $18k vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 18¢
- S + MP
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?
26%
Open · $524 24h · $14k vol
Bid 25¢ · Ask 27¢
- S + MP + V
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + V?
5%
Open · $134 24h · $5,581 vol
Bid 3.7¢ · Ask 7.1¢
- S + C
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + C?
1%
Open · $505 24h · $3,787 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 1.9¢
- S
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?
19%
Open · $68 24h · $13k vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 19¢
- S + C + V
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + C + V?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $298 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
- S + V
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + V?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $527 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
- M + KD + L
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L?
8%
Open · $79 24h · $5,982 vol
Bid 7.3¢ · Ask 9.6¢
- M + KD + L + SD
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?
9%
Open · $1,647 24h · $9,537 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 10.7¢
- M + KD + L + C
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?
9%
Open · $68 24h · $12k vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 9.7¢
- S + MP + C + L
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + L?
1%
Open · $68 24h · $2,954 vol
Bid 0.7¢ · Ask 0.8¢
- S + MP + L
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + L?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $468 vol
last
Ask 0.2¢
- S + M
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + M?
<1%
Open · $209 24h · $2,473 vol
last
Ask 1.2¢
- S + C + L
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + C + L?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $2,212 vol
last
Ask 0.2¢
- S + MP + C + KD
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + KD?
1%
Open · $68 24h · $4,236 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 1.2¢
- M + KD + SD
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + SD?
<1%
Open · $68 24h · $2,564 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.4¢
- M + KD
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,941 vol
last
Ask 0.3¢
- M + SD
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + SD?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $384 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
- M
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M?
<1%
Open · $90 24h · $2,912 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
- Other
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Sweden?
2%
Open · $68 24h · $3,967 vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 3.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Jul 31, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
Parliamentary elections were held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election. A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. The following parties will be considered for this market: Swedish Social Democratic Party (S), Moderate Party (M), Sweden Democrats (SD), Left Party (V), Centre Party (C), Christian Democrats (KD), Green Party (MP), and Liberals (L). All other parties will not be considered. Resolution will be based on the listed option that most completely matches the parties included in the coalition. If the coalition formed after the election includes all of the parties listed in a market option, along with any other parties, that option will resolve to “Yes” unless there exists another market option that more completely covers the coalition. A listed option will not resolve to “Yes” if any of its listed parties are not included in the coalition. For example: - If the governing coalition includes S + MP + C, the option “S + MP + C” will resolve to “Yes”, while “S + MP” will resolve to “No”. - If the governing coalition includes S + MP + KD, but no option explicitly lists those three together, the market will resolve to “S + MP” if that option is listed and no listed option more completely matches the coalition. In the event that the ruling coalition includes all parties for multiple market options, and each option contains an equal number of coalition parties, the tie will be resolved in favor of the option whose listed parties together hold the greater number of seats in the newly elected Riksdag. If this presents another tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option whose parties received the greatest number of valid votes in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election. If any party forms a single-party government, the listed option for that party will be considered the governing coalition. If the governing coalition does not include all parties in any listed option, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market may resolve once the next Swedish government is officially formed following the Riksdag's vote on the Prime Minister and the taking of office by the Government. If the next Swedish governing coalition is not confirmed by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.