Selected outcome
Anthropic
3%
Anthropic · 3%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
SpaceXWill the US federal government take a stake in SpaceX?
8%
Open · $0 24h · $256 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 9¢
- Unusual Machines
Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines?
No quote
Open · $37 24h · $1,754 vol
wide spread 29–57%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 57¢
- Anduril
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?
26%
Open · $20 24h · $54k vol
Bid 24¢ · Ask 28¢
- Boeing
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?
8%
Open · $0 24h · $12k vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 9¢
- TSMC
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
16%
Open · $30 24h · $18k vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 19¢
- OpenAI
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?
12%
Open · $0 24h · $12k vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 13¢
- Palantir
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?
8%
Open · $41 24h · $5,222 vol
Bid 7.8¢ · Ask 8.9¢
- Nvidia
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?
10%
Open · $67 24h · $18k vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 10¢
- Lockheed Martin
Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation?
9%
Open · $107 24h · $4,051 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 11¢
- TikTok US / Bytedance
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?
7%
Open · $0 24h · $6,482 vol
Bid 6.3¢ · Ask 7.4¢
- Freeport-McMoRan
Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.?
8%
Open · $0 24h · $3,464 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 9¢
- IonQ
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?
9%
Open · $0 24h · $5,251 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 9¢
- Micron
Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.?
7%
Open · $0 24h · $3,013 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 9¢
- Anthropic
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?
3%
Open · $20 24h · $8,110 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 4.6¢
- Eli Lilly
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?
12%
Open · $0 24h · $4,361 vol
Bid 9.9¢ · Ask 13.6¢
- Pfizer
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?
5%
Open · $20 24h · $7,125 vol
Bid 3.9¢ · Ask 6.3¢
- Samsung Electronics
Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $10k vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 6.7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.