Selected outcome
Company D
Company D
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 30, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
AnthropicWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
34%
Open · $115 24h · $11k vol
Bid 32¢ · Ask 35¢
MetaWill Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
7%
Open · $0 24h · $1,877 vol
Bid 3.7¢ · Ask 9.4¢
GoogleWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
59%
Open · $50 24h · $8,956 vol
Bid 57¢ · Ask 60¢
MoonshotWill Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,109 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 1.9¢
OpenAIWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $1,472 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 3¢
AlibabaWill Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $985 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 1¢
SpaceXAIWill SpaceXAI have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,060 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.5¢
Z.aiWill Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $851 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
BaiduWill Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $301 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
XiaomiWill Xiaomi have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $546 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
DeepSeekWill DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,061 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.8¢
ByteDanceWill ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $292 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
MiniMaxWill MiniMax have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $653 vol
last
Ask 0.9¢
ThinkyWill Thinky have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $997 vol
last
Ask 0.5¢
MeituanWill Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,043 vol
last
Ask 0.2¢
MistralWill Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $479 vol
last
Ask 0.2¢
AmazonWill Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $923 vol
last
Ask 0.4¢
NvidiaWill Nvidia have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $576 vol
last
Ask 0.5¢
TencentWill Tencent have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $981 vol
Ask 0.1¢
StepFunWill StepFun have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $818 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
MicrosoftWill Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $761 vol
last
Ask 0.9¢
OtherWill any other company have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company A
Will Company A have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company B
Will Company B have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company C
Will Company C have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company D
Will Company D have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company E
Will Company E have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company F
Will Company F have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company G
Will Company G have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company H
Will Company H have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company I
Will Company I have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company J
Will Company J have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company K
Will Company K have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company L
Will Company L have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company M
Will Company M have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 30, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".