Selected outcome
Company A
Company A
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
AnthropicWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
17%
Open · $182 24h · $37k vol
Bid 13.9¢ · Ask 20¢
MetaWill Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
3%
Open · $20 24h · $4,973 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 4.1¢
GoogleWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
78%
Open · $229 24h · $13k vol
Bid 77.4¢ · Ask 79.5¢
MoonshotWill Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $2,469 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
OpenAIWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
3%
Open · $20 24h · $5,751 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 6.3¢
AlibabaWill Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $2,318 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
SpaceXAIWill SpaceXAI have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $1,922 vol
Ask 0.1¢
Z.aiWill Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $2,436 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
BaiduWill Baidu have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $667 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
XiaomiWill Xiaomi have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,710 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
DeepSeekWill DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,654 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
ByteDanceWill ByteDance have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $699 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
MiniMaxWill MiniMax have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $726 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
ThinkyWill Thinky have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $692 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
MeituanWill Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $671 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
MistralWill Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $625 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
AmazonWill Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $537 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
NvidiaWill Nvidia have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $773 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
TencentWill Tencent have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $683 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
StepFunWill StepFun have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $735 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
MicrosoftWill Microsoft have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $681 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
Company AWill Company A have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company B
Will Company B have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company C
Will Company C have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company D
Will Company D have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company E
Will Company E have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company F
Will Company F have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company G
Will Company G have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company H
Will Company H have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company I
Will Company I have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company K
Will Company K have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Other
Will any other company have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".