Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

xAI

xAI · 1%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Dec 30, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

Google
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
42%
Open · $9,549 24h · $317k vol
Bid 41¢ · Ask 43¢
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Anthropic
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
48%
Open · $6,610 24h · $375k vol
Bid 47¢ · Ask 49¢
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OpenAI
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
6%
Open · $6,016 24h · $225k vol
Bid 5.4¢ · Ask 6.1¢
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Alibaba
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $9,712 24h · $160k vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 0.6¢
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Z.ai
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $11k 24h · $145k vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.4¢
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xAI
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $9,107 24h · $180k vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 1.3¢
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DeepSeek
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $15k 24h · $163k vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.4¢
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Moonshot
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $723 24h · $159k vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.4¢
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Mistral
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $9,129 24h · $202k vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
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Meituan
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $5,000 24h · $108k vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
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Microsoft
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $7,225 24h · $127k vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
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Meta
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $7,155 24h · $198k vol
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 1.5¢
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Amazon
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $7,131 24h · $121k vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
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Baidu
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $5,000 24h · $122k vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
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ByteDance
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $3,146 24h · $129k vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
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Company A
Will Company A have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company B
Will Company B have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company C
Will Company C have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company D
Will Company D have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company E
Will Company E have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company F
Will Company F have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company G
Will Company G have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company H
Will Company H have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company I
Will Company I have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Company K
Will Company K have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Other
Will any other company have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Event statistics

24h vol: $111k
Volume: $2.7M
Liquidity: $1.3M
Open int.: —

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end: Dec 30, 2026 ET

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

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