Selected outcome
Mistral
last
<1%
Mistral · <1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 30, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
AnthropicWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
40%
Open · $952 24h · $65k vol
Bid 39¢ · Ask 41¢
MetaWill Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
2%
Open · $759 24h · $28k vol
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 2.4¢
GoogleWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
54%
Open · $828 24h · $63k vol
Bid 53¢ · Ask 55¢
AlibabaWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
1%
Open · $420 24h · $18k vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.7¢
MoonshotWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $422 24h · $22k vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.4¢
OpenAIWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
3%
Open · $555 24h · $26k vol
Bid 3.1¢ · Ask 3.7¢
BaiduWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $5,527 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
Z.aiWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $422 24h · $20k vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.5¢
XiaomiWill Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $3,987 24h · $17k vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
SpaceXAIWill SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $1,666 24h · $25k vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 0.5¢
DeepSeekWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $6,034 24h · $40k vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
AmazonWill Amazon have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $2,270 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
ByteDanceWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $5,446 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
NvidiaWill Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,050 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
ThinkyWill Thinky have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,886 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
MiniMaxWill MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $2,517 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
MistralWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $2,343 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
MeituanWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $3,967 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
TencentWill Tencent have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $3,506 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
StepFunWill StepFun have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $2,448 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
MicrosoftWill Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $3,212 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
OtherWill any other company have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company A
Will Company A have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company B
Will Company B have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company C
Will Company C have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company D
Will Company D have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company E
Will Company E have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company F
Will Company F have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company G
Will Company G have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company H
Will Company H have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company I
Will Company I have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company J
Will Company J have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company K
Will Company K have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company L
Will Company L have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company M
Will Company M have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 30, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".