Selected outcome
SpaceXAI
4%
SpaceXAI · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
GoogleWill Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
51%
Open · $0 24h · $3,354 vol
wide spread 48–89%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 89¢
ByteDanceWill ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $844 vol
last
Ask 19¢
MetaWill Meta have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $205 vol
wide spread <1–42%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 41.9¢
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATHWill Alibaba (including Alibaba-ATH) have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $850 vol
wide spread 1–62%
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 62.2¢
OpenAIWill OpenAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
10%
Open · $0 24h · $2,070 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 15¢
SpaceXAIWill SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $172 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 6.6¢
PixverseWill Pixverse have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $158 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 6.7¢
RunwayWill Runway have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $176 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢
KlingAIWill KlingAI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $163 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.2¢
PrunaWill Pruna have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $191 vol
wide spread 1–57%
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 56.9¢
Luma AIWill Luma AI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $181 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 4.8¢
MiniMaxWill MiniMax have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $143 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
KandinskyWill Kandinsky have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $166 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
TencentWill Tencent have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $217 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
LightricksWill Lightricks have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $192 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 5¢
PikaWill Pika have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $163 vol
wide spread <1–42%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 42¢
Genmo AIWill Genmo AI have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $144 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.3¢
Black Forest LabsWill Black Forest Labs have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
10%
Open · $0 24h · $240 vol
wide spread <1–44%
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 44.1¢
Company AWill Company A have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company B
Will Company B have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company C
Will Company C have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company D
Will Company D have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company E
Will Company E have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company F
Will Company F have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company G
Will Company G have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company H
Will Company H have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company I
Will Company I have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company J
Will Company J have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company K
Will Company K have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company L
Will Company L have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Company M
Will Company M have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
- Other
Will any other company have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?
No quote
Open · not taking orders · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".