Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

None in 2026

65%

None in 2026 · 65%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Dec 30, 2026 ET

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Markets

OpenAI
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $16k vol
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 5.4¢
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xAI
Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $10k vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 1.1¢
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Anthropic
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
16%
Open · $0 24h · $21k vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 20¢
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Google
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
18%
Open · $265 24h · $16k vol
Bid 17.9¢ · Ask 18.9¢
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DeepSeek
Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $14k vol
last
Ask 0.5¢
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None in 2026
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
65%
Open · $0 24h · $28k vol
Bid 60¢ · Ask 69¢
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Other
Will a company not listed here be the first to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
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Alibaba
Will Alibaba be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $11k vol
last
Ask 0.6¢
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Z.ai
Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $9,908 vol
last
Ask 0.4¢
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Mistral
Will Mistral be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $9,474 vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
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Company D
Will Company D be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
No quote
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Company E
Will Company E be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Company F
Will Company F be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Company G
Will Company G be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Company H
Will Company H be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Company I
Will Company I be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Company J
Will Company J be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Company K
Will Company K be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Company L
Will Company L be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Company M
Will Company M be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Company N
Will Company N be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Company O
Will Company O be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Company P
Will Company P be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Company Q
Will Company Q be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Company R
Will Company R be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Company S
Will Company S be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Company T
Will Company T be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Company U
Will Company U be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Company V
Will Company V be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Company W
Will Company W be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Company X
Will Company X be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Company Y
Will Company Y be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
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Event statistics

24h vol: $265
Volume: $135k
Liquidity: $15k
Open int.: —

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end: Dec 30, 2026 ET

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market. If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None in 2026". If the first model to reach a 1550+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.

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