Selected outcome
Oman
1%
Oman · 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
IranWill Iran join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $2,884 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3.4¢
AlgeriaWill Algeria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $543 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 3.7¢
BahrainWill Bahrain join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
8%
Open · $0 24h · $1,876 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 10¢
EgyptWill Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
18%
Open · $0 24h · $11k vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 22¢
IraqWill Iraq join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
8%
Open · $0 24h · $3,708 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 10¢
JordanWill Jordan join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $1,531 vol
Bid 4.2¢ · Ask 7¢
KuwaitWill Kuwait join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
9%
Open · $0 24h · $4,316 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 12¢
LebanonWill Lebanon join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $2,868 vol
Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 4.2¢
MoroccoWill Morocco join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $4,456 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3.2¢
OmanWill Oman join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $2,307 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1.1¢
QatarWill Qatar join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
10%
Open · $0 24h · $2,553 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 13¢
SomaliaWill Somalia join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $5,612 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 4¢
SudanWill Sudan join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $3,106 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 0.9¢
SyriaWill Syria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $7,070 vol
Bid 2.7¢ · Ask 8.7¢
United Arab EmiratesWill the United Arab Emirates join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $21k vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2.6¢
YemenWill Yemen join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
9%
Open · $0 24h · $5,988 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 13¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs: - the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or - the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory. Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement. Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.