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Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

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Selected outcome

European Union

6%

European Union · 6%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

  • European Union

    U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?

    6%

    Open · $0 24h · $13k vol

    Bid 3.7¢ · Ask 7.4¢

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  • India

    U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?

    11%

    Open · $1,009 24h · $73k vol

    Bid 10¢ · Ask 12¢

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  • Canada

    U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?

    10%

    Open · $0 24h · $24k vol

    Bid 7¢ · Ask 12¢

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  • Brazil

    U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?

    7%

    Open · $10 24h · $4,929 vol

    Bid 4.6¢ · Ask 9.4¢

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  • Japan

    U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $18k vol

    wide spread 2–15%

    Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 14.8¢

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  • Indonesia

    U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?

    8%

    Open · $5 24h · $20k vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 11¢

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  • Argentina

    U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?

    9%

    Open · $0 24h · $23k vol

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 11¢

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  • Vietnam

    U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?

    12%

    Open · $229 24h · $11k vol

    Bid 9.2¢ · Ask 15.2¢

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  • Australia

    U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?

    10%

    Open · $0 24h · $6,398 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 15¢

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  • Mexico

    U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?

    16%

    Open · $0 24h · $3,423 vol

    wide spread 6–19%

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 19¢

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  • South Korea

    U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?

    5%

    Open · $0 24h · $61k vol

    Bid 4.4¢ · Ask 6.3¢

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  • Israel

    U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?

    10%

    Open · $0 24h · $906 vol

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 13¢

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  • Pakistan

    U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

    10%

    Open · $0 24h · $106k vol

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 13¢

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  • United Kingdom

    U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027?

    11%

    Open · $0 24h · $649 vol

    Bid 8¢ · Ask 13¢

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  • Russia

    U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?

    10%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,479 vol

    Bid 7¢ · Ask 13¢

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  • South Africa

    U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?

    7%

    Open · $0 24h · $614 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 10¢

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  • Taiwan

    U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?

    9%

    Open · $0 24h · $35k vol

    Bid 6.5¢ · Ask 12.1¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$1,253
Volume
$404k
Liquidity
$141k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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