Selected outcome
Brian Armstrong
wide spread 1–13%
7%
Brian Armstrong · 7%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
GainzyWill Gainzy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $141 vol
wide spread 1–20%
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 20¢
SBFWill SBF appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $1,911 vol
wide spread 1–50%
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 49.9¢
ThreadGuyWill ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
46%
Open · $0 24h · $12k vol
Bid 41.2¢ · Ask 49.9¢
Jesse PollakWill Jesse Pollak appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $632 vol
wide spread 2–80%
Bid 1.7¢ · Ask 79.7¢
Michael SaylorWill Michael Saylor appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
8%
Open · $0 24h · $182 vol
wide spread 1–99%
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 99.2¢
CZWill CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $467 vol
wide spread 1–50%
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 49.9¢
Vitalik ButerinWill Vitalik Buterin appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $454 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 10.5¢
Jeff YanWill Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $1,788 vol
wide spread 3–29%
Bid 2.7¢ · Ask 28.9¢
Arthur HayesWill Arthur Hayes appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $3,162 vol
wide spread 1–24%
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 24¢
AnsemWill Ansem appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
44%
Open · $0 24h · $4,399 vol
wide spread 2–60%
Bid 1.5¢ · Ask 60¢
Martin ShkreliWill Martin Shkreli appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $161 vol
wide spread 2–89%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 89¢
Su ZhuWill Su Zhu appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
47%
Open · $0 24h · $175 vol
wide spread 1–80%
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 79.8¢
Guy YoungWill Guy Young appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
25%
Open · $0 24h · $5,835 vol
wide spread 2–69%
Bid 1.5¢ · Ask 68.5¢
Anatoly YakovenkoWill Anatoly Yakovenko appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
7%
Open · $0 24h · $124 vol
wide spread 2–99%
Bid 2.4¢ · Ask 99.3¢
Thomas LeeWill Thomas Lee appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $209 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 2¢
Brian ArmstrongWill Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
7%
Open · $0 24h · $3,578 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 12.9¢
Javier MileiWill Javier Milei appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
63%
Open · $0 24h · $188 vol
wide spread 2–85%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 85¢
Andrew KangWill Andrew Kang appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread <1–88%
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 88.3¢
thiccyWill thiccy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $174 vol
wide spread 2–24%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 24¢
GCRWill GCR appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $365 vol
wide spread 1–86%
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 86¢
lightWill light appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
8%
Open · $0 24h · $47 vol
wide spread 1–87%
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 86.7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a new episode of the UpOnly podcast featuring the specified guest is publicly released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” “Released” means the full episode is published and available to the general public on an official UpOnly platform (e.g. YouTube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or the show’s official feed). Previews, clips, teasers, or promotional material do not count toward resolution. The resolution source will be the official UpOnly podcast channels and/or a consensus of credible public reporting.