Selected outcome
Kamala Harris
12%
Kamala Harris · 12%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2028 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
Gavin NewsomWill Gavin Newsom be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?
17%
Open · $0 24h · $4,405 vol
Bid 15.1¢ · Ask 19.1¢
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $579 vol
Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 5.4¢
- Jon Ossoff
Will Jon Ossoff be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $474 vol
Bid 0.5¢ · Ask 3.4¢
- Kamala Harris
Will Kamala Harris be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?
12%
Open · $0 24h · $690 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 13¢
- Josh Shapiro
Will Josh Shapiro be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $603 vol
wide spread 1–21%
Bid 0.9¢ · Ask 21.4¢
- Pete Buttigieg
Will Pete Buttigieg be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $1,780 vol
wide spread 24–40%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 40¢
- Jon Stewart
Will Jon Stewart be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $505 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
- Andy Beshear
Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?
18%
Open · $0 24h · $2,467 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 21¢
- Rahm Emanuel
Will Rahm Emanuel be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?
21%
Open · $111 24h · $1,294 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
- Ro Khanna
Will Ro Khanna be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $1,007 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 13¢
- Stephen A. Smith
Will Stephen A. Smith be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $447 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
- Other
Will another Democrat be the first listed to announce a run for President in 2028?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2028 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith. An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.