Selected outcome
Donald Trump Jr.
5%
Donald Trump Jr. · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
J.D. VanceWill J.D. Vance be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
29%
Open · $0 24h · $3,990 vol
wide spread 25–46%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 46¢
- Marco Rubio
Will Marco Rubio be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $441 vol
Bid 0.9¢ · Ask 8.6¢
- Ron DeSantis
Will Ron DeSantis be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
18%
Open · $0 24h · $395 vol
wide spread 3–23%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 23¢
- Donald Trump
Will Donald Trump be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $1,220 vol
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 7.7¢
- Donald Trump Jr.
Will Donald Trump Jr. be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $176 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.4¢
- Glenn Youngkin
Will Glenn Youngkin be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
1%
Open · $0 24h · $207 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 1.9¢
- Vivek Ramaswamy
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $380 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 8¢
- Ted Cruz
Will Ted Cruz be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $5,832 vol
wide spread 30–62%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 62¢
- Rand Paul
Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $1,251 vol
Bid 3.4¢ · Ask 4.7¢
- Marjorie Taylor Greene
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
8%
Open · $0 24h · $217 vol
wide spread <1–36%
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 35.7¢
- Other
Will another Republican be the first listed to announce a run for President in 2028?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene. An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.