← Polymarket

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

Open

Selected outcome

Linke

wide spread 62–89%

Linke

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Sep 20, 2026 ET

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • CDU

    Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?

    30%

    Open · $0 24h · $5,311 vol

    wide spread 3–32%

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 32¢

    Open full market view →
  • AfD

    Will AfD be in the next Berlin state government?

    2%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,422 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 2.5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Grüne

    Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?

    90%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,619 vol

    wide spread 31–90%

    Bid 31.2¢ · Ask 90¢

    Open full market view →
  • SPD

    Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?

    65%

    Open · $100 24h · $6,572 vol

    wide spread 44–96%

    Bid 44.1¢ · Ask 96.3¢

    Open full market view →
  • FDP

    Will FDP be in the next Berlin state government?

    3%

    Open · $0 24h · $446 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 4.5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Linke

    Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $10k vol

    wide spread 62–89%

    Bid 62¢ · Ask 89¢

    Open full market view →
  • FW

    Will FW be in the next Berlin state government?

    2%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,104 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 3.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • BSW

    Will BSW be in the next Berlin state government?

    3%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,356 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 4.6¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$100
Volume
$29k
Liquidity
$43k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Sep 20, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.

View on Polymarket