Selected outcome
Moderate Party (M)
18%
Moderate Party (M) · 18%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Sep 13, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?
77%
Open · $769 24h · $69k vol
Bid 76.7¢ · Ask 77.7¢
Sweden Democrats (SD)Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?
6%
Open · $78 24h · $28k vol
Bid 5.1¢ · Ask 6.3¢
Moderate Party (M)Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?
18%
Open · $16 24h · $24k vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 18¢
Centre Party (C)Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?
47%
Open · $0 24h · $24k vol
wide spread 43–74%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 74¢
Left Party (V)Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?
22%
Open · $324 24h · $42k vol
Bid 21¢ · Ask 22¢
Christian Democrats (KD)Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?
18%
Open · $181 24h · $23k vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 18¢
Green Party (MP)Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?
No quote
Open · $23 24h · $29k vol
wide spread 64–75%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 75¢
Liberals (L)Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?
16%
Open · $400 24h · $21k vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 16¢
Citizens' Coalition (MED)Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) be in the next Swedish government?
<1%
Open · $0 24h · $2,963 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Sep 13, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.