Selected outcome
South Carolina
51%
South Carolina · 51%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Michigan
Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
76%
Open · $185 24h · $5,887 vol
Bid 74¢ · Ask 78¢
- Ohio (Special)
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
61%
Open · $92 24h · $8,996 vol
Bid 60¢ · Ask 61¢
- New Hampshire
Will the New Hampshire 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
35%
Open · $0 24h · $3,104 vol
Bid 33¢ · Ask 36¢
- Nebraska
Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
55%
Open · $60 24h · $5,346 vol
Bid 51¢ · Ask 58¢
- Virginia
Will the Virginia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $2,393 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.4¢
- New Mexico
Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
5%
Open · $45 24h · $8,025 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢
- Colorado
Will the Colorado 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $2,655 vol
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 4.3¢
- Florida (Special)
Will the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
30%
Open · $195 24h · $6,891 vol
Bid 27¢ · Ask 33¢
- North Carolina
Will the North Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
19%
Open · $0 24h · $8,558 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 20¢
- Georgia
Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
13%
Open · $0 24h · $4,893 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 14¢
- Minnesota
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
No quote
Open · $7 24h · $13k vol
wide spread 53–69%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 69¢
- Montana
Will the Montana 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
47%
Open · $68 24h · $3,710 vol
wide spread 5–92%
Bid 4.8¢ · Ask 92¢
- South Carolina
Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
51%
Open · $450 24h · $3,234 vol
Bid 49¢ · Ask 52¢
- Kansas
Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
68%
Open · $775 24h · $4,577 vol
Bid 66¢ · Ask 69¢
- Mississippi
Will the Mississippi 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
39%
Open · $80 24h · $386 vol
wide spread 21–91%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 91¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.