Selected outcome
J.D. Vance
81%
J.D. Vance · 81%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 30, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
Gavin NewsomWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028?
77%
Open · $0 24h · $6,526 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 77¢
Alexandria Ocasio-CortezWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?
65%
Open · $59 24h · $6,715 vol
Bid 64¢ · Ask 66¢
Pete ButtigiegWill Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?
80%
Open · $0 24h · $2,584 vol
Bid 79¢ · Ask 80¢
Josh ShapiroWill Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2028?
66%
Open · $0 24h · $639 vol
Bid 65¢ · Ask 66¢
Wes MooreWill Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2028?
53%
Open · $0 24h · $215 vol
wide spread 38–66%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 66¢
Stephen A. SmithWill Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2028?
20%
Open · $0 24h · $1,103 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 20¢
Kamala HarrisWill Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2028?
51%
Open · $309 24h · $5,403 vol
wide spread 50–61%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 61¢
Gretchen WhitmerWill Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2028?
32%
Open · $0 24h · $966 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 33¢
Andy BeshearWill Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028?
88%
Open · $0 24h · $1,290 vol
Bid 86.9¢ · Ask 88.3¢
Jon OssoffWill Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028?
52%
Open · $20 24h · $3,594 vol
Bid 50¢ · Ask 53¢
Mark CubanWill Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2028?
19%
Open · $0 24h · $228 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 19¢
J.B. PritzkerWill J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2028?
54%
Open · $51 24h · $1,354 vol
Bid 53¢ · Ask 54¢
Raphael WarnockWill Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2028?
50%
Open · $0 24h · $837 vol
Bid 49¢ · Ask 51¢
Cory BookerWill Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2028?
60%
Open · $0 24h · $2,347 vol
Bid 59¢ · Ask 60¢
Tim WalzWill Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2028?
9%
Open · $0 24h · $4,992 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 9.8¢
Michelle ObamaWill Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028?
14%
Open · $0 24h · $1,336 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 15¢
Mark KellyWill Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2028?
58%
Open · $0 24h · $541 vol
Bid 57¢ · Ask 59¢
Rahm EmanuelWill Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2028?
62%
Open · $20 24h · $1,416 vol
Bid 59¢ · Ask 64¢
Gina RaimondoWill Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2028?
23%
Open · $111 24h · $1,755 vol
Bid 21¢ · Ask 25¢
Zohran MamdaniWill Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?
9%
Open · $1,284 24h · $2,804 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 9¢
Roy CooperWill Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2028?
21%
Open · $0 24h · $40 vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 22¢
John FettermanWill John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2028?
22%
Open · $177 24h · $3,203 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 24¢
Jared PolisWill Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2028?
36%
Open · $0 24h · $80 vol
Bid 35¢ · Ask 36¢
Jon StewartWill Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2028?
18%
Open · $0 24h · $1,753 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 18¢
Barack ObamaWill Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $628 vol
Bid 1.8¢ · Ask 3¢
Hillary ClintonWill Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $4,613 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 4.4¢
Liz CheneyWill Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2028?
14%
Open · $0 24h · $1,784 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 15¢
Bernie SandersWill Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2028?
12%
Open · $0 24h · $2,399 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 12¢
Phil MurphyWill Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2028?
43%
Open · $40 24h · $1,460 vol
wide spread 32–52%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 52¢
LeBron JamesWill LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2028?
11%
Open · $0 24h · $277 vol
Bid 10.2¢ · Ask 11.6¢
Hunter BidenWill Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028?
36%
Open · $70 24h · $5,449 vol
Bid 35¢ · Ask 37¢
George ClooneyWill George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2028?
12%
Open · $0 24h · $1,495 vol
Bid 11.8¢ · Ask 13¢
Chelsea ClintonWill Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028?
11%
Open · $0 24h · $125 vol
Bid 10.9¢ · Ask 11.1¢
MrBeastWill MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2028?
9%
Open · $0 24h · $1,919 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 9¢
Dwayne 'The Rock' JohnsonWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2028?
16%
Open · $0 24h · $990 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 16¢
Oprah WinfreyWill Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2028?
13%
Open · $0 24h · $37 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 13¢
Andrew YangWill Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2028?
52%
Open · $0 24h · $3,591 vol
Bid 50¢ · Ask 54¢
Beto O’RourkeWill Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2028?
12%
Open · $0 24h · $20 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 12¢
Kim KardashianWill Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2028?
14%
Open · $0 24h · $5,215 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 14¢
Donald TrumpWill Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2028?
12%
Open · $0 24h · $100 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 13¢
J.D. VanceWill J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028?
81%
Open · $15 24h · $4,958 vol
Bid 80.3¢ · Ask 82¢
Marco RubioWill Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028?
44%
Open · $90 24h · $2,994 vol
Bid 43¢ · Ask 45¢
Tulsi GabbardWill Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2028?
20%
Open · $0 24h · $945 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 20¢
Glenn YoungkinWill Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2028?
34%
Open · $0 24h · $658 vol
Bid 33¢ · Ask 34¢
Donald Trump Jr.Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028?
14%
Open · $0 24h · $2,677 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 14¢
Ron DeSantisWill Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2028?
65%
Open · $0 24h · $563 vol
Bid 64¢ · Ask 66¢
Nikki HaleyWill Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2028?
25%
Open · $0 24h · $361 vol
Bid 24¢ · Ask 25¢
Vivek RamaswamyWill Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2028?
24%
Open · $0 24h · $252 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 24¢
Sarah Huckabee SandersWill Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2028?
20%
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 21¢
Greg AbbottWill Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2028?
25%
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Bid 24¢ · Ask 26¢
Brian KempWill Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2028?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $450 vol
wide spread 44–68%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 68¢
Byron DonaldsWill Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2028?
24%
Open · $0 24h · $94 vol
Bid 22¢ · Ask 25¢
Elise StefanikWill Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2028?
25%
Open · $0 24h · $80 vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 26¢
Josh HawleyWill Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2028?
34%
Open · $0 24h · $4,596 vol
wide spread 23–49%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 49¢
Ted CruzWill Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?
83%
Open · $0 24h · $5,991 vol
Bid 82¢ · Ask 83¢
Elon MuskWill Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2028?
13%
Open · $0 24h · $2,439 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 13¢
Matt GaetzWill Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2028?
17%
Open · $0 24h · $358 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 20¢
Katie BrittWill Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2028?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $20 vol
wide spread 18–59%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 59¢
John ThuneWill John Thune announce a presidential run before 2028?
16%
Open · $0 24h · $203 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 17¢
Kristi NoemWill Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2028?
16%
Open · $0 24h · $80 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 17¢
Mike PenceWill Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2028?
16%
Open · $0 24h · $670 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 17¢
Tucker CarlsonWill Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2028?
17%
Open · $0 24h · $4,182 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 18¢
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028?
16%
Open · $0 24h · $1,148 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 16¢
Ivanka TrumpWill Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2028?
7%
Open · $0 24h · $389 vol
Bid 6.9¢ · Ask 7.1¢
Tom BradyWill Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2028?
9%
Open · $1,063 24h · $1,103 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 9¢
Rand PaulWill Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2028?
50%
Open · $0 24h · $462 vol
wide spread 41–66%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 66¢
Steve BannonWill Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028?
29%
Open · $0 24h · $2,441 vol
Bid 27¢ · Ask 31¢
Erika KirkWill Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?
7%
Open · $1,687 24h · $4,380 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 7¢
Marjorie Taylor GreeneWill Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2028?
26%
Open · $0 24h · $492 vol
Bid 25¢ · Ask 27¢
Don LemonWill Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2028?
23%
Open · $0 24h · $40 vol
Bid 22¢ · Ask 23¢
Candace OwensWill Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2028?
20%
Open · $0 24h · $244 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 20¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 30, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
