Selected outcome
Marco Rubio
5%
Marco Rubio · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
Markwayne MullinWill Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027?
22%
Open · $0 24h · $2,855 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 26¢
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
14%
Open · $63 24h · $93k vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 17¢
Pete HegsethWill Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
25%
Open · $808 24h · $136k vol
Bid 23¢ · Ask 27¢
Marco RubioWill Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $24k vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 6¢
Scott BessentWill Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?
5%
Open · $7 24h · $15k vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 6¢
Lee ZeldinWill Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?
9%
Open · $0 24h · $34k vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 12¢
Howard LutnickWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
13%
Open · $439 24h · $100k vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 14¢
Kash PatelWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
17%
Open · $525 24h · $310k vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 22¢
Stephen MillerWill Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?
9%
Open · $58 24h · $6,706 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 12¢
Susie WilesWill Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
38%
Open · $96 24h · $63k vol
Bid 37¢ · Ask 39¢
Dan ScavinoWill Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $137 vol
wide spread 3–53%
Bid 3.1¢ · Ask 53¢
David SacksWill David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?
6%
Open · $20 24h · $10k vol
Bid 2.8¢ · Ask 10¢
Russell VoughtWill Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $284 vol
wide spread 11–24%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 24¢
Tom HomanWill Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?
24%
Open · $0 24h · $643 vol
wide spread 9–33%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 33¢
John RatcliffeWill John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027?
9%
Open · $14 24h · $690 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 13¢
Kristi NoemWill Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
30%
Open · $0 24h · $99k vol
wide spread 20–34%
Bid 19.6¢ · Ask 33.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.