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Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

Open

Selected outcome

Karoline Leavitt

Yes

Karoline Leavitt · Yes

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

  • Zohran Mamdani

    Will Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?

    26%

    Open · $0 24h · $4,865 vol

    wide spread 13–47%

    Bid 13¢ · Ask 47¢

    Open full market view →
  • Mark Rutte

    Will Donald Trump publicly praise Mark Rutte by October 31, 2026?

    No quote

    Open · $347 24h · $5,288 vol

    wide spread 13–27%

    Bid 13¢ · Ask 27¢

    Open full market view →
  • Gianni Infantino

    Will Donald Trump publicly praise Gianni Infantino by October 31, 2026?

    15%

    Open · $126 24h · $7,415 vol

    wide spread 11–30%

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 30¢

    Open full market view →
  • Delcy Rodriguez

    Will Donald Trump publicly praise Delcy Rodriguez by October 31, 2026?

    57%

    Open · $413 24h · $2,802 vol

    wide spread 50–63%

    Bid 50¢ · Ask 63¢

    Open full market view →
  • Bryson DeChambeau

    Will Donald Trump publicly praise Bryson DeChambeau by October 31, 2026?

    28%

    Open · $0 24h · $3,210 vol

    Bid 27¢ · Ask 28¢

    Open full market view →
  • Jon Rahm

    Will Donald Trump publicly praise Jon Rahm by October 31, 2026?

    8%

    Open · $0 24h · $146 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 12¢

    Open full market view →
  • Nicki Minaj

    Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by October 31, 2026?

    14%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,044 vol

    Bid 10¢ · Ask 18¢

    Open full market view →
  • Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Will Donald Trump publicly praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?

    24%

    Open · $40 24h · $3,352 vol

    wide spread 9–49%

    Bid 9¢ · Ask 49¢

    Open full market view →
  • Javier Milei

    Will Donald Trump publicly praise Javier Milei by October 31, 2026?

    23%

    Open · $440 24h · $5,227 vol

    wide spread 10–23%

    Bid 10¢ · Ask 23¢

    Open full market view →
  • Warren Buffett

    Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026?

    14%

    Open · $279 24h · $6,556 vol

    wide spread 11–41%

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 41¢

    Open full market view →
  • Flávio Bolsonaro

    Will Donald Trump publicly praise Flávio Bolsonaro by October 31, 2026?

    94%

    Open · $0 24h · $3,920 vol

    Bid 92¢ · Ask 95¢

    Open full market view →
  • Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

    Will Donald Trump publicly praise Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026?

    24%

    Open · $4 24h · $1,649 vol

    Bid 21¢ · Ask 26¢

    Open full market view →
  • Kim Jong Un

    Will Donald Trump publicly praise Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?

    29%

    Open · $112 24h · $1,866 vol

    Bid 25¢ · Ask 33¢

    Open full market view →
  • Dario Amodei

    Will Donald Trump publicly praise Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?

    43%

    Open · $24 24h · $7,197 vol

    wide spread 5–49%

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 48.5¢

    Open full market view →

Resolved

Event statistics
24h vol
$1,785
Volume
$86k
Liquidity
$3,384
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain praising language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Praising language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as praise, or endorses praising language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as praise if it expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the individual either personally or professionally. This includes direct praise, attributing a positive personal or professional trait to the individual (e.g., strong, smart, loyal, a winner), or equivalent positive descriptions. General neutrality or polite diplomatic language will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.

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