Selected outcome
Ursula von der Leyen
wide spread 58–81%
68%
Ursula von der Leyen · 68%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
Ursula von der LeyenWill Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
68%
Open · $6 24h · $13k vol
wide spread 58–81%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 81¢
Mark RutteWill Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
55%
Open · $360 24h · $75k vol
Bid 54¢ · Ask 56¢
Emmanuel MacronWill Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
12%
Open · $5 24h · $12k vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 12¢
Mark CarneyWill Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
9%
Open · $30 24h · $14k vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 11¢
António GuterresWill António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
12%
Open · $0 24h · $9,899 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 13¢
JD VanceWill JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $148k vol
Bid 3.3¢ · Ask 6.5¢
Donald TrumpWill Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $109k vol
Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 4.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.