Selected outcome
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
66%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate · 66%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
Agreement + Oil < $80; R SenateWill there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
1%
Open · $2,889 24h · $52k vol
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 1.4¢
- Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
2%
Open · $358 24h · $32k vol
Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 2.6¢
- No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
31%
Open · $7,715 24h · $45k vol
Bid 30.6¢ · Ask 31.6¢
- No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
66%
Open · $3,655 24h · $56k vol
Bid 65.7¢ · Ask 66.6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/urg.pdf