Selected outcome
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
67%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate · 67%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
1%
Open · $8,157 24h · $113k vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 0.7¢
- Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
1%
Open · $4,584 24h · $117k vol
Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 0.9¢
- No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
31%
Open · $7,519 24h · $68k vol
Bid 30.8¢ · Ask 31.7¢
- No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
67%
Open · $8,364 24h · $56k vol
Bid 66.4¢ · Ask 67.6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.