Selected outcome
December 31, 2026
wide spread 14–42%
36%
December 31, 2026 · 36%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
December 31, 2026
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Markets
December 31, 2026Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
36%
Open · $0 24h · $23k vol
wide spread 14–42%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 42¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of any sovereign UN member state announces between November 13, 3:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a country announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes"). A qualifying purchase requires a relevant country take direct custody over the Bitcoin they purchase. Buying into investment vehicles, ETFs, etc., which do not constitute a direct purchase of Bitcoin, will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the governments of any purchasing UN member state, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.