Selected outcome
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
wide spread 55–72%
62%
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · 62%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Loading price history.
Markets

Open · $27 24h · $205k vol
wide spread 55–72%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 72¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the public valuation of Anthropic surpasses the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For Bitcoin, CoinGecko's data for BTC will be used, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead. For Anthropic, any public valuation, or private funding round that values the company will be considered. To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will CoinGecko and Anthropic's official communications; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.