Selected outcome
Senate
26%
Senate · 26%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
SenateWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?
26%
Open · $3,749 24h · $20k vol
Bid 24.2¢ · Ask 27.8¢
PresidentWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?
61%
Open · $13k 24h · $41k vol
Bid 60¢ · Ask 62¢
NeitherWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028?
11%
Open · $3,480 24h · $13k vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 12.4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement. If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.