Selected outcome
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
2%
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? · 2%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
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Markets
Open · $0 24h · $198k vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2.4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.