Selected outcome
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
7%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · 7%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jun 30, 2027 ET
Price
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Loading price history.
Markets
Open · $87 24h · $517k vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jun 30, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.