Selected outcome
December 31, 2026
9%
December 31, 2026 · 9%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
December 31, 2026Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
9%
Open · $0 24h · $2,291 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 9¢
- June 30, 2027
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
14%
Open · $0 24h · $10k vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 19¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.