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Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

5-7

wide spread 12–26%

5-7

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

  • <5

    Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?

    70%

    Open · $1,188 24h · $6,409 vol

    Bid 67.6¢ · Ask 72.7¢

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  • 5-7

    Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?

    No quote

    Open · $890 24h · $7,330 vol

    wide spread 12–26%

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 26¢

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  • 8-10

    Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October?

    6%

    Open · $208 24h · $3,359 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 7¢

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  • 11-13

    Will Claude go down 11-13 times in October?

    No quote

    Open · $803 24h · $4,549 vol

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 14+

    Will Claude go down 14+ times in October?

    <1%

    Open · $70 24h · $855 vol

    last

    Ask 0.9¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$3,158
Volume
$23k
Liquidity
$9,996
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve according to the number of days in October 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime. Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun. This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).

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