Selected outcome
$10.000+
wide spread 3–16%
4%
$10.000+ · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
$7.000+Will ground beef hit $7 per pound in 2026?
51%
Open · $0 24h · $134 vol
wide spread 30–94%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 94¢
- $8.000+
Will ground beef hit $8 per pound in 2026?
14%
Open · $0 24h · $2,393 vol
wide spread 6–27%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 27¢
- $9.000+
Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026?
22%
Open · $0 24h · $841 vol
wide spread 5–33%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 33¢
- $10.000+
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $20k vol
wide spread 3–16%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 16¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time. The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.