Selected outcome
December 31
3%
December 31 · 3%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
December 31Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?
3%
Open · $138 24h · $36k vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 3.1¢
- March 31
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?
8%
Open · $327 24h · $7,637 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify. The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.