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Will Lambda's valuation hit __ by October 31?

Open

Selected outcome

↑$15.5B

wide spread 3–73%

↑$15.5B

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source
fe.secondmarket.com (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • ↑$17.5B

    Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by October 31?

    6%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,152 vol

    wide spread 2–69%

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 69¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↑$15.5B

    Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15.5B by October 31?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    wide spread 3–73%

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 73¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↑$14.5B

    Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $14.5B by October 31?

    8%

    Open · $0 24h · $285 vol

    wide spread 7–74%

    Bid 7¢ · Ask 74¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↑$14B

    Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by October 31?

    48%

    Open · $0 24h · $503 vol

    wide spread 3–62%

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 62¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↑$13.5B

    Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by October 31?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $696 vol

    wide spread 15–49%

    Bid 15¢ · Ask 49¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↑$13.25B

    Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $13.25B by October 31?

    75%

    Open · $0 24h · $644 vol

    wide spread 59–98%

    Bid 59¢ · Ask 98¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↓$12.5B

    Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by October 31?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $354 vol

    wide spread 3–41%

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 41¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↓$12.25B

    Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $12.25B by October 31?

    22%

    Open · $0 24h · $501 vol

    wide spread 17–96%

    Bid 17¢ · Ask 96¢

    Open full market view →
  • ↓$11.75B

    Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $11.75B by October 31?

    24%

    Open · $0 24h · $576 vol

    wide spread 4–27%

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 27¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$0
Volume
$4,710
Liquidity
$601
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lambda's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and October 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the specified date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the specified date. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company’s public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using official regular-hours trading prices published for the company’s listed equities on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-86eda4f2-01af-4275-9c70-0ff3c347c62b). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be the relevant Market Cap figure displayed on https://www.nasdaq.com/ as well as official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

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