← Polymarket

Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

Open

Selected outcome

October 31

wide spread 6–23%

October 31

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • December 31

    Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?

    68%

    Open · $507 24h · $9,707 vol

    Bid 65¢ · Ask 71¢

    Open full market view →
  • October 31

    Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by October 31?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $286 vol

    wide spread 6–23%

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 23¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$507
Volume
$32k
Liquidity
$2,633
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

View on Polymarket