Selected outcome
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
3%
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · 3%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
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Markets
Open · $0 24h · $450k vol
Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 3.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.