Selected outcome
December 31
4%
December 31 · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
December 31
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Markets
December 31Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
4%
Open · $8,825 24h · $2.6M vol
Bid 3.4¢ · Ask 3.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.