Selected outcome
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
3%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · 3%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
Price
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
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Markets
Open · $3,165 24h · $5.3M vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 3.1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.