Selected outcome
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
17%
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? · 17%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
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Markets

Open · $0 24h · $9,644 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 19¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.