Selected outcome
December 31, 2026
5%
December 31, 2026 · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- climateclock.world (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
December 31, 2026Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $18k vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 8.7¢
March 31, 2027Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by March 31, 2027?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 2–98%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 98¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date. A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”. The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies. Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.